Decisions
20 min

Inversion

Ask how you would guarantee the outcome you do not want, then systematically stop doing those things.

Time cost
20 min
Output
A list of failure-guaranteeing behaviours with current ones marked.
Steps
5

Use when

  • You are stuck on how to achieve something and the forward view is producing nothing.
  • Success is hard to define but failure is obvious.
  • The field is one where avoiding errors matters more than making brilliant moves.

Do not use when

  • Avoiding failure is not the same as succeeding here. You still need a forward plan.
  • The failure modes are already well known and being managed.

Inputs required

  • A clearly stated goal

Procedure

  1. 01

    State the goal

    What outcome are you trying to reach? One sentence.

  2. 02

    Invert it

    How would you guarantee the opposite? Be concrete and be generous — list everything, including things that sound absurd.

  3. 03

    Audit against the list

    Which of these are you currently doing? This is the step that produces the finding, and it is uncomfortable by design.

  4. 04

    Remove first

    Stop the failure-guaranteeing behaviours before adding success-seeking ones. Removal is usually cheaper and more certain than addition.

  5. 05

    Check what remains

    Avoiding failure is not the same as succeeding. Once the list is clear, go back and write the positive plan.

Characteristic failure mode

Stopping at avoidance. A plan that only removes failure modes gets you to not-failing, which in most fields is a different place from succeeding.

Worked example

A person wants to build a durable exercise habit.

  1. 01Invert: how would I guarantee this never sticks? Make it depend on motivation. Make it need a 40-minute journey. Set a target I can fail visibly. Start at maximum intensity.
  2. 02Audit: three of the four describe the last attempt.
  3. 03Remove: drop the visible target, halve the intensity, move the location.

Result

Three removals and no additions. The positive plan — what the sessions actually contain — still has to be written separately.

Where to go next